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Keynes Fund

 

Informative Social Interactions, Luc Arrondel, Hector Calvo-Pardo, Chryssi Giannitsarou and Michael Haliassos, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 203 pp. 246-263 (2022)

Abstract: 

Household finances are confidential and discussions are limited to a subset of peers. We collect novel representative survey data to examine separately whether interactions with inner and outer social circles influence return perceptions, expectations, and exposure to a widely known financial instrument in a developed economy with multiple information sources. We find that a respondent's connectedness, proxied by perceived prevalence of information or participation in the small financial circle, improves expectation accuracy indirectly, through boosting accuracy of perceived past returns; and influences stock participation and exposure not only by influencing expectations, but also directly.