Hear this Idea is a podcast showcasing new thinking in philosophy, the social sciences, and effective altruism. In each (≈90 minute) conversation, they ask thinkers, founders, and academics to explain their field and their work. The paper discussed in this episode is: Persistent Overconfidence and Biased Memory: Evidence from Managers, by David Huffman, Collin Raymond, and Julia Shvets and is based on Julia Shvet’s research funded by The Keynes Fund.