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Keynes Fund

 

Summary of Project Results


The main objective of this project is to understand the role of religion as a form of informal insurance. We find that individuals' investment in religion is a result of their beliefs but also due to the role of religion in insuring individuals against different types of risk. In particular, we investigate how risks such as becoming unemployed, encountering large unforeseen expenditures and crime may affect individuals’ participation in religious activities. To investigate this, we undertook the following steps:

- We collected two rounds of data in Brazil on religious activities and risk perception of individuals, thereby constructing a comprehensive dataset of individual religious activities. The dataset covers over 1000 individuals. Our second wave of data collection was temporarily halted by Covid‐19, but once data collection resumed, we are now able to report that all the data have been collected and received. We worked with ISER – the Institute for the Study of Religion in Brazil to collect the data.

- We used the collected data to empirically investigate the extent to which individuals use religion related activities to mitigate the impact of negative shocks. Our data allows us to differentiate between different religions in Brazilian society and the specific activities themselves.

- We build a theoretical model, accounting for different characteristics of individuals and various types of risks that they face. In the model, individuals invest in religious activities to increase their life and afterlife time value. Thus, their investments are due to their beliefs in afterlife but also to insure against the risks they face in this life.

Preliminary results suggest that religion serves as a buffer for shocks across many dimensions. For instance, we find that religious networks are likely to help the unemployed to find a job. In order to enjoy services from religious networks, individuals engage in religious investments such as donations or time investments.

 

Impact and Outputs


We are currently still writing the main working paper from the project, which we hope to send to a major general interest economics journal in the next 6 months. The paper was presented at the Keynes Fund Research Day. We will also be submitting it for presentation at conferences over the next one year, including the ASREC Annual Meetings, the Barcelona GSE Summer Forum, and the NBER Summer Institute.

One important consequence of the project has been building the research capability of two young researchers Ms. Maryam Vaziri and Mr. Christian Roerig. Both are current PhD students in the Faculty who started out as RAs on the project and have both developed into fully‐fledged co‐authors on the paper. This building of their research capability and skills has been an important part of this project as well.

 

 

Dr. Sriya Iyer, Dr. Tiago Cavalcanti and Dr. Christopher Rauh

 

Dr Sriya Iyer is University Reader, at the Faculty of Economics and a Fellow of St. Catharine's College, University of Cambridge. Her research interests are in Development Economics, Religion, Demography, Education.

 

Dr Tiago Cavalcanti is University Reader in Economics at the University of Cambridge, Fellow of Trinity College, Adjunct Professor at Sao Paulo School of Economics-FGV. His research expertise is Macroeconomics, Growth, Economic Development.

 

Dr Christopher Rauh is a University Lecturer at the Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. His research interests are in Macroeconomics, Political Economy, Labour Economics.

 

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